Saturday, August 20, 2022

Little Margin for Error

Changing weather patterns, the ineffectiveness of medieval governments in dealing with crises, and population level at a historical high made it a time with little margin for error in food production. 

Factors in the Great Famine
Current Factors
  1. Anomaly: Warm Climate
  2. Massive crop failure (1315-1317, 5-12% dead)
  3. Extreme weather
    1. Flooding
  4. Class Warfare
  5. Increased Crime
  6. Inflation
  7. Epidemic Disease 
  8. Lifespan reduction
    (from 29.84 years in 1301-1325 to 17.33 years in 1348-1375.)
  1. Anomaly: Heat wave
    1. Heat related death
    2. Burned crops
    3. Sacrificed livestock
  2. Extreme weather
    1. Flooding
  3. Class Warfare
  4. Increased Crime
  5. Inflation
  6. Epidemic Disease
  7. Lifespan reduction
  8. Social unrest and disruption
    1. Schools
    2. Hospitals
    3. Labor
  9. Climate Anomaly: Drought
    1. Rivers dry up and goods can’t get where they’re going
    2. Hydroelectric production compromised
  10. Supply Chain breakdown
  11. Climate

The Great Famine of 1315–1317 (occasionally dated 1315–1322) was the first of a series of large-scale crises that struck Europe early in the 14th century. Most of Europe (extending east to Russia and south to Italy) was affected. The famine caused many deaths over an extended number of years and marked a clear end to the period of growth and prosperity from the 11th to the 13th centuries.